Project Name:Hazard Consequence Threshold Models for Emergency Management and Response Decision Making
Other Research Participants/Partners:Isaac Ginis, Chris Kincaid, Tetsu Hara, Lewis Rothstein and David Ullman, University of Rhode Island; Wenrui Huang, Florida State University
This project will deliver a Hazard Consequence Modeling System (HCMS), developed through effort in Years 1-5, that demonstrates functional capabilities for transition to operation at Rhode Island Emergency Management Agency (RIEMA) and subsequent scaling to other end users. This near real-time hazard and impact prediction system for hurricanes and nor’easters in Southern New England will run on existing ArcGIS systems typically in use at Emergency Operation Centers (EOCs) around the country. It integrates end-user knowledge and concerns as model inputs into the ADCIRC-Surge Guidance System. It provides predictions of cascading consequences of extreme weather (i.e., surge, wind, flooding, waves) impacting critical infrastructure (e.g., wastewater treatment facilities, sewer systems, airports, and seaports). The approach addresses the challenges inherent in collection and dissemination infrastructure data by partnering with critical lifeline sector leads and leveraging existing technology in use at EOCs.
Dr. Becker’s current research focuses on modeling the consequences of natural hazards on coastal infrastructure. His modeling approach illustrates the impacts of storm and flooding scenarios that are relevant for decision making and planning (when does a road become impassable, when would a generator go out, etc.). Dr. Becker works closely with expert stakeholders and utilizes visualization tools to present his findings in a way that is tailored to the needs of the end user.